This year's foreign trade can be said to have no foreign trade. According to the recent customs data, the textile exports of the previous months showed a steep decline compared with the same period of previous years. Although the market is gradually picking up from January to May, from the perspective of the entire structure, it is still mainly based on epidemic prevention materials .

So, what are textile people talking about this year?

Unreliable experience

In the past, foreign trade, one of the important pillars of my country's economic growth, has been showing a trend of rapid growth. For example, in 2019, my country's total import and export value of goods trade was 31.54 trillion yuan, an increase of 3.4% over 2018. Among them, exports were 17.23 trillion yuan, an increase of 5%; exports of seven categories of labor-intensive products such as textiles and clothing were 3.31 trillion yuan, an increase of 6.1%.

But it is this growth that has always existed that has brought paralysis to our textile traders, ignoring many risks with high probability, and once these risks occur, it has become the "grey rhino event" that economists often say. ". The Sino-U.S. trade friction that continues until today, including this year’s epidemic, is a gray rhino incident.

And when countries successively announced the closure of ports, our foreign trade talents found that the years of experience seemed to have become a yellow flower yesterday, so unreal.

The form of foreign trade has changed

With the continuous development of trade frictions, Brexit and other incidents have emerged one after another, and the "globalization" that was incredibly confident in the past is gradually being run by the rising protectionism.

 The recent civil strife in the United States seems to be due to the death of Freud, but in fact it is the outbreak of social conflicts that have accumulated for many years, and this includes the rise of its domestic unemployment rate caused by the expansion of the US economy. Therefore, although we textile people all say "clothing, food, housing, travel, and clothing line diyi", when facing the increasingly magical world situation, we have to sigh: Foreign trade is no longer that foreign trade.

As the German scholar Baker said, globalization puts us in a “risk society”, that is, the continuous spread of human uncertainty is causing the existing social structures, institutions and relationships to become more complex, accidental and split states. To put it bluntly, the world has become increasingly unpredictable, which is why the experience accumulated by our textile foreign traders over the years has suddenly become unworkable.

We are satisfied

As mentioned earlier, the continuous development of my country's textile foreign trade has made some textile foreign traders begin to settle down on the status quo. It's wrong. To be precise, it should be settled on the experience brought by their own glory in the past. But in the face of a world full of uncertainty, some experiences will not work anymore. Eating old, not studying, and unable to keep up with the development of the times is the reason why some textile foreign traders feel that foreign trade is difficult to do, while others who are brought out by these old eaters are completely deprived by these clinging People are pitted.

It is a matter of urgency to get out of the predicament!

Experience doesn't work anymore, foreign trade has changed. If we want to change, what should we do?

Simple anxiety is actually meaningless. To solve this problem, we can only deal with it from the root. As mentioned above, following the old-fashioned and superstitious experience is a problem for some of our current foreign traders, so if we want to make changes, we must strengthen learning. In other words, not only do we have to learn during our student years, we also have to do lifelong learning.

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